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	<title>Comments for NSLog();</title>
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	<link>http://nslog.com</link>
	<description>The Weblog of Erik J. Barzeski</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Wed, 23 May 2012 23:05:21 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Comment on On Sheep, Wolves, and Sheepdogs by Ian</title>
		<link>http://nslog.com/2012/04/16/on_sheep_wolves_and_sheepdogs#comment-70372</link>
		<dc:creator>Ian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 May 2012 23:05:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nslog.com/?p=9232#comment-70372</guid>
		<description>As I read through this article, I became progressively more and more frustrated. Yes, many people do not think about security and pubic safety and, sadly, there are real threats to society from crime and violence. 

What this parable of sheep, dogs and wolves is missing is an element of risk awareness and proportionality. It breaks the barnyard theme, but maybe we need to think of an actuary as well. 

As Bruce Schneirer has told us over and over and over again, security is a tradeoff. Risk reduction comes at a price and it is only reasonable to think about the cost-benefit calculations for security measures. Unfortunately for us as a species, our risk awareness evolved hundreds of thousands of years ago as we spread out across the savannah, when real (non-human) predators were the greatest risk to our security. 

A result of this is that we are, in general, overly fearful of rare and spectacular catastrophes. Airplane crashes are horrific and often result in large death tolls, so we tend to fear them more than driving, even though vastly more people die in car accidents. The number of people who die from terrorist strikes in the US is infintissemal compared to the number who die from heart disease. 

Yes, the warrior-author of the article will say that I&#039;m being a wilfully ignorant sheep, unwilling to accept the reality of violence. While I agree that we need police and military forces for self-defense and public safety, we also need to be realistic about what these services cost and what benefit we are receiving for them. There is absolutely no doubt that diverting 90% of the TSAs budget into screening and early treatment for heart disease or cancer would save hundreds of thousands of lives.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As I read through this article, I became progressively more and more frustrated. Yes, many people do not think about security and pubic safety and, sadly, there are real threats to society from crime and violence. </p>
<p>What this parable of sheep, dogs and wolves is missing is an element of risk awareness and proportionality. It breaks the barnyard theme, but maybe we need to think of an actuary as well. </p>
<p>As Bruce Schneirer has told us over and over and over again, security is a tradeoff. Risk reduction comes at a price and it is only reasonable to think about the cost-benefit calculations for security measures. Unfortunately for us as a species, our risk awareness evolved hundreds of thousands of years ago as we spread out across the savannah, when real (non-human) predators were the greatest risk to our security. </p>
<p>A result of this is that we are, in general, overly fearful of rare and spectacular catastrophes. Airplane crashes are horrific and often result in large death tolls, so we tend to fear them more than driving, even though vastly more people die in car accidents. The number of people who die from terrorist strikes in the US is infintissemal compared to the number who die from heart disease. </p>
<p>Yes, the warrior-author of the article will say that I'm being a wilfully ignorant sheep, unwilling to accept the reality of violence. While I agree that we need police and military forces for self-defense and public safety, we also need to be realistic about what these services cost and what benefit we are receiving for them. There is absolutely no doubt that diverting 90% of the TSAs budget into screening and early treatment for heart disease or cancer would save hundreds of thousands of lives.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Scooters in PA by Craig</title>
		<link>http://nslog.com/2005/08/04/scooters_in_pa#comment-70370</link>
		<dc:creator>Craig</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 May 2012 05:51:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nslog.com/2005/08/04/scooters_in_pa/#comment-70370</guid>
		<description>I was cited in Lebanon, PA. on my 49cc Honda Metropolitan scooter for not having a class (M) license, i&#039;m going to plea not guilty and show them the facts.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was cited in Lebanon, PA. on my 49cc Honda Metropolitan scooter for not having a class (M) license, i'm going to plea not guilty and show them the facts.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Boston Marathon in 8 Minutes by Extra88</title>
		<link>http://nslog.com/2012/04/14/boston_marathon_in_8_minutes#comment-70369</link>
		<dc:creator>Extra88</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 May 2012 10:34:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nslog.com/?p=9149#comment-70369</guid>
		<description>April 16th was also Emancipation Day, a holiday observed in Washington D.C. The IRS is required to follow D.C. holidays so that&#039;s why the tax return deadline was shifted by a day.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>April 16th was also Emancipation Day, a holiday observed in Washington D.C. The IRS is required to follow D.C. holidays so that's why the tax return deadline was shifted by a day.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Expression by weston deboer</title>
		<link>http://nslog.com/2012/04/12/expression#comment-70367</link>
		<dc:creator>weston deboer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 May 2012 21:00:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nslog.com/?p=9222#comment-70367</guid>
		<description>A trick that I have been making myself do is to take a couple of breathes before answering a question. I normally want to blurt out the first thing that comes to mind, but I make myself take a couple of breathes to think, and then answer. 

There is no harm in taking time to answer, but its hard to make yourself do it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A trick that I have been making myself do is to take a couple of breathes before answering a question. I normally want to blurt out the first thing that comes to mind, but I make myself take a couple of breathes to think, and then answer. </p>
<p>There is no harm in taking time to answer, but its hard to make yourself do it.</p>
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		<title>Comment on My Bent Pinky Fingers by Melissa</title>
		<link>http://nslog.com/2006/08/10/my_bent_pinky_fingers#comment-70297</link>
		<dc:creator>Melissa</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 May 2012 19:33:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nslog.com/2006/08/10/my_bent_pinky_fingers/#comment-70297</guid>
		<description>I play cello, piano and I&#039;m learning guitar. I am musical, but my fingers do hinder me a little. For example I find it hard to reach an octave on piano because my little finger curves away. I don&#039;t let it stop me though  :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I play cello, piano and I'm learning guitar. I am musical, but my fingers do hinder me a little. For example I find it hard to reach an octave on piano because my little finger curves away. I don't let it stop me though  <img src='http://nslog.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>Comment on Deal or No Deal Algorithm by Ron</title>
		<link>http://nslog.com/2005/12/20/deal_or_no_deal_algorithm#comment-70294</link>
		<dc:creator>Ron</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Apr 2012 20:18:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nslog.com/2005/12/20/deal_or_no_deal_algorithm/#comment-70294</guid>
		<description>Ok the main problem is the speed of the cases being opened has nothing to do with it. The odds you had to choose a million dollar case were 1/26 the odds that you have that case if all other cases are removed are not constant. Just your odds of winning the million. If I had X-ray vision and could see into 22 out of 26 cases when I chose my initial case are my odds the same?
So why don&#039;t the odds for me winning change as I see the cases being revealed as not having the million dollars as the game progresses</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ok the main problem is the speed of the cases being opened has nothing to do with it. The odds you had to choose a million dollar case were 1/26 the odds that you have that case if all other cases are removed are not constant. Just your odds of winning the million. If I had X-ray vision and could see into 22 out of 26 cases when I chose my initial case are my odds the same?<br />
So why don't the odds for me winning change as I see the cases being revealed as not having the million dollars as the game progresses</p>
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		<title>Comment on Deal or No Deal Algorithm by Ron</title>
		<link>http://nslog.com/2005/12/20/deal_or_no_deal_algorithm#comment-70293</link>
		<dc:creator>Ron</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Apr 2012 19:53:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nslog.com/2005/12/20/deal_or_no_deal_algorithm/#comment-70293</guid>
		<description>No the Monty hall solution is biased because the host causes one of the three choices that he knows is a bad choice to be revealed, this fact means statistically you should switch.In deal or no deal the banker has no idea what case has the top prize nor does he influence the contestants choices of elimination. The actual fact in deal or no deal is the remaining cases cause the probability percentage to change two cases, is 50/50 it only remains 1/27 if you do not reveal the contents thus negating the game in entirety. The only way your brother is correct is when he refers to the initial odds of choosing the top prize. After that you are referring to the remaining odds of what may be In your case. Would he quote the same odds if you started the game with 27 cases but 23 of them were already open revealing the contents as not being one million dollars? Also there is a guy on here that watched 3 episodes and assume the banker knows what case the million is in, not true.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No the Monty hall solution is biased because the host causes one of the three choices that he knows is a bad choice to be revealed, this fact means statistically you should switch.In deal or no deal the banker has no idea what case has the top prize nor does he influence the contestants choices of elimination. The actual fact in deal or no deal is the remaining cases cause the probability percentage to change two cases, is 50/50 it only remains 1/27 if you do not reveal the contents thus negating the game in entirety. The only way your brother is correct is when he refers to the initial odds of choosing the top prize. After that you are referring to the remaining odds of what may be In your case. Would he quote the same odds if you started the game with 27 cases but 23 of them were already open revealing the contents as not being one million dollars? Also there is a guy on here that watched 3 episodes and assume the banker knows what case the million is in, not true.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Fastlane Crashes by Fan</title>
		<link>http://nslog.com/2003/06/28/fastlane_crashes#comment-70287</link>
		<dc:creator>Fan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Apr 2012 23:43:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nslog.com/2003/06/28/fastlane_crashes/#comment-70287</guid>
		<description>Man it&#039;s been years and there are still Fastlane fans out there and a lot of people that wanna see that show come back for a season 2..I lost hope awhile ago that we would ever get an answer to all those loose ends but I still love Fastlane and think fox is so so stupid for canceling it!! And we still don&#039;t know what happened to billie!!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Man it's been years and there are still Fastlane fans out there and a lot of people that wanna see that show come back for a season 2..I lost hope awhile ago that we would ever get an answer to all those loose ends but I still love Fastlane and think fox is so so stupid for canceling it!! And we still don't know what happened to billie!!</p>
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		<title>Comment on Pebble Watch by Carey Barzeski</title>
		<link>http://nslog.com/2012/04/06/pebble_watch#comment-70286</link>
		<dc:creator>Carey Barzeski</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Apr 2012 00:49:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nslog.com/?p=9188#comment-70286</guid>
		<description>I want one!  :)  It would make a cooler bike odometer than the ones I&#039;ve seen!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I want one!  <img src='http://nslog.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' />   It would make a cooler bike odometer than the ones I've seen!</p>
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		<title>Comment on My Bent Pinky Fingers by Nathan Knapp</title>
		<link>http://nslog.com/2006/08/10/my_bent_pinky_fingers#comment-70284</link>
		<dc:creator>Nathan Knapp</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Apr 2012 01:17:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nslog.com/2006/08/10/my_bent_pinky_fingers/#comment-70284</guid>
		<description>I&#039;ve been a bassist for about five years, and I had just come over it three years ago. 
And mines worse than the one in the picture.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I've been a bassist for about five years, and I had just come over it three years ago.<br />
And mines worse than the one in the picture.</p>
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